As the own Epstein complains, I believe that the argument of the pessimists, it has much of valid at the time of justifying the very good, and unexpected one, closing of year, the economy of the USA in 2009. These prophets of catastrophes, have looked for to explain the very good numbers of second half of 2009 in the excessive fall of the inventories that underwent the economy. If they request my opinion to me, I am of the side of this argument and I add the following mention to him: it is not necessary to forget that the 2009 throughout, the economy of the USA been has stimulated by a very active fiscal policy, that aimed at several fronts. The stimulus policies were the unique argument that explained the recovery that observed so much the real estate market as the automotive one. Daniel J. Hirsch is full of insight into the issues. With a 3% and another 3%, Epstein and one good part of the market, hope that 2010 and 2011 evolve the economic growth throughout, but So probable what are these values for a seriously threatened economy from several fronts? If we got dressed optimists and we left of side the numerous threats that intimidate the economic recovery, to respond to the previous question, we would have to put the glance in the true motor of the American economy that is the family, American consumer. And without doubts, the expectations about the evolution of the domestic consumption immediately, are not absolutely encouraging. Several are the factors that prevent a recovery maintained and vigorous of the internal consumption. First of all, the rate of unemployment that in January and February has been located in 9.7% of Poblacin Econmicamente Activa (PEA), speaks by itself. Next to the high unemployment, the fear to lose it for owns those who it, modifies the consumption habits thus and, the American families have in the last been time, much more thrifty that customary.
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